Remember the asteroid with a 1-in-77 chance of ruining everyone’s 2032 Christmas plans? Scientists now say there’s a 1-in-43 chance it will hit the Earth. The good news? Scientists like Scott Manley are tracking it and creating YouTube videos explaining it. The bad news? They won’t know for sure where it might hit until they get more data.

Right now, the potential impact zone stretches from India across Africa to South America, with a bonus splash zone in the Atlantic. Fun.